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    January 30

    On Evolution: Critiquing the "Explosion in a Print Shop" illustration

    Some Intelligent Design theorist use a certain illustration to bad effect. They suggest that the possibility of some instance of biological design (or apparent design) occurring by chance is so improbable that it is equivalent to an explosion in a print shop producing the complete works of Shakespeare, a 1000 volume encyclopedia, a library, or something comparable. However we have to be careful how we use this illustration. It can be a helpful method of illustrating improbability, but it does not map well onto the proposed evolutionary scheme common among naturalist. To do that we would need to postulate * millions of various level explosions (comparable to mutations) * in various different print shops (comparable to different environments and life forms) * with certain accidentally present brute facts of nature and reality (laws of math, logic, and nature) * which happen to sustain some low level complexity (such as, vowels tend to magnetically attract consonants), some high level cumulative complexity (such as 5-10 letter conglomerates attract 2-3 letter conglomerates), * and a low level of specificity (1,2,3 letter words occur relatively frequently, say, 2x's per 100,000 letter assortments). * with a preservation tendency among certain fit (or fortunate) words (natural selection) Given this scenario, it becomes more plausible to suggest that there might arise a five word sentence every trillion or so tries. There is some level of randomness, but there are also brute facts of nature (why we can consider them "brute" is contestable, but roll with me here) that "inform" the scheme to where slight instances of complexity and specificity can occur such as we do see in nature. The case, of course, is still strong against evolutionists even with these kinds of qualifications, however evolutionists are right to object to misrepresentation.